Star wide receiver for the Dallas Cowboys, Dez Bryant, had his contract end after last season. His agent and the team could not come to terms on a new contract, so Bryant was given the franchise tag designation. Once he signs his offer Dez will make $12.823 million next season. That's not a shabby salary to go out and catch footballs for four months. However, like most players given the franchise tag, Bryant is refusing to sign it to place pressure on Jerry and Stephen Jones to give him a long term contract.
I have no problem, nor should anyone else, with Bryant doing this. Football players have notoriously short careers and need to maximize their earnings. What I have a problem with is that Dez has recently said that he's considering not signing his franchise offer and possibly sitting out some regular season games. Everyone wants job security, especially at a place they truly enjoy being, but this is not the way to get what you want. There is nothing professional about refusing your services because you don't get what you want. And if he doesn't get it from Dallas, almost every other team in the league will be willing to give it to him.
Of course if he doesn't get that long term deal from Dallas it's very likely that he'll be given the franchise tag again next year. That would mean a one-year contract worth 125% of the one he received this year. To clarify, if Dez does not get a long term deal, he'll make approximately $27 million over two years - fully guaranteed! As it is very unlikely Dallas would use the franchise tag a third time, Bryant would be set to hit the free agent market at 28 - still very much in his prime - and set to receive one of largest, if not the largest, contracts ever given to a wide receiver.
I'm not complaining about the money given to people to play a game - that's a subject for another time. What I will complain about is Bryant continuing to talk about his contract in a very public way. All this will do will make fans, maybe even a few Cowboys fans, resent him - especially if he starts trash talking the team or management. So Dez, it's your turn to listen. Stop complaining. Stop whining. Do what a lot of other players who have been given the franchise tag have done. Keep that franchise offer in a safe place and sign it once you're ready to report to training camp. Make sure you get in enough practice time to be ready for preseason action. Let your agents continue to negotiate and see what happens. No one feels sorry for you, so just shut up and play.
Sunday, June 14, 2015
Friday, April 3, 2015
Quick NFL Thoughts
Well, it's April. NFL Free Agency has come with its usual quick bang and the cupboard is almost empty. The NFL Draft is at the end of the month, leaving fans to read countless mock drafts that mean absolutely nothing - but still offer up debate and hope for everyone. But before we get to the draft let's take a second and reflect on how exciting and interesting the NFL off-season has been so far. Here are some quick thoughts:
- I wrote earlier this year that I thought Rex Ryan and the Raiders needed each other. Well, it turns out Rex didn't need them as he decided to go to Buffalo instead - leaving the oh so attractive Raiders job to Jack Del Rio. I'm sure Rex simply didn't want to work in a division that didn't include his buddy Bill Belichick, but that's besides the point. Rex is going to ruin the Buffalo defense. He's a 3-4 guy, they've assembled players for and play a 4-3. Rex should take the example of Mike Tomlin (another defensive guy who went to a team that employed a different defense than he was use to) and not mess with the system. True there's no Dick Lebeau in Buffalo, but Mario Williams didn't have fun playing outside linebacker his last season in Houston. Why make him do it again? No need to fix what isn't broken. Try finding a quarterback, Rex.
- It's been a relatively quiet off-season on the legal front. There have been a few arrests - mostly for drunk driving - and thankfully so after last year. Are players finally realizing there could be repercussions if they break the law? Ray Rice is seemingly shunned by the league, though is also an aging, less effective running back. Though Greg Hardy got paid nicely even though he's facing a lengthy suspension and there's plenty of interest in Adrian Peterson if the Vikings can't convince him to come back. It's still early in the off-season, but let's hope that NFL players (and let's include executives and owners) have learned the lesson that they are not above the law. For some reason Jameis Winston is coming to mind as I typed that last sentence...
- Speaking of Winston, reports have come out that the Buccaneers are leaning towards him with the #1 overall pick because they don't like how quiet and reserved Marcus Mariota is. Wait. What? How does that make any sense? Mariota is the better player, though he'll probably need some time to adjust to the NFL. But that shouldn't stop teams from taking him. Who cares if he needs to sit a season or two? The new CBA has locked in rookie contracts so that they aren't a burden on the team. Carson Palmer and Aaron Rodgers both sat on the bench for a couple of seasons after being drafted. Palmer has done pretty well for himself despite his knee issues and Rodgers is the best QB in football. Lovie Smith clearly knows nothing about quarterbacks. Good luck to them when they screw up the first pick of the 2015 NFL Draft.
- Speaking of Mariota, with more and more reports coming out about it, I'm believing the hype that Cleveland will trade up for him - possibly with the Titans though Washington remains a possibility since I don't believe the Titans will take a QB at #2. This offers more proof that Ray Farmer has no idea what he is doing. Did he go to the Matt Millen school of NFL General Managers? I think the Justin Gilbert pick last year will turn out ok, but he wasted his second first round pick on Manziel. Manziel is not an NFL QB and should just be cut - no one should ask for him to be included in a draft pick deal. It's not out of the question to consider that Farmer will give up more picks in an attempt to finally find a franchise QB for Cleveland. What they should do is stay where they are, draft a WR and another defensive piece in the first round, and then add someone like Brent Hundley from UCLA in the second round. But poorly run teams don't like doing what they should and instead think they're going to outsmart everyone by constantly reaching on players. Is there something in the water in Cleveland that causes people to make bad decisions?
- Getting away from the draft, this has been a very exciting off-season. Why? PLAYER TRADES! Trades involving players actually on NFL rosters rarely happen in the NFL and thankfully this off-season has been full of them! Philly has been the most active jettisoning LeSean McCoy and Nick Foles, but a bunch of other teams are getting in on the action as well. Keep it up, NFL! Trades generate a ton of interest from fans - just look at the MLB. The rising salary cap has helped make trades possible so teams can absorb bad contracts, which in turn generates buzz in every NFL market. There's also the issue of teams locking up their best players preventing them from hitting free agency. Less quality free agents means more trades! Please, please, please let this be a continuing trend in the NFL!
- The other interesting major development has been the retirement of four talented players. Well, ok, three talented players and Jake Locker. And all for very different reasons. Locker "lost his passion", though actually was barely good enough to be a back-up - though back-up QB in the NFL is not a bad gig. Patrick Willis has foot issues. Jason Worilds has decided to pursue other opportunities. The most interesting case is Chris Borland. He would be entering his second NFL season and was an excellent linebacker last year. He's leaving the game due to future potential health issues. He did his research, consulted with former players, and came to the conclusion that playing in the NFL wasn't worth possibly suffering from CTE later in life. This is somewhat reminiscent of Robert Smith retiring at the age of 28 while still productive, and playing with a young Randy Moss and a still effective Dante Culpepper. All of these players have people scratching their heads and questioning their decisions, but all should be applauded. Especially Borland. Here's to hoping that Chris Borland leaving the game because of potential brain trauma issues gets and keeps the conversation going about player safety in the NFL.
Please share your thoughts/questions about any of these topics or on this NFL off-season in general below.
- I wrote earlier this year that I thought Rex Ryan and the Raiders needed each other. Well, it turns out Rex didn't need them as he decided to go to Buffalo instead - leaving the oh so attractive Raiders job to Jack Del Rio. I'm sure Rex simply didn't want to work in a division that didn't include his buddy Bill Belichick, but that's besides the point. Rex is going to ruin the Buffalo defense. He's a 3-4 guy, they've assembled players for and play a 4-3. Rex should take the example of Mike Tomlin (another defensive guy who went to a team that employed a different defense than he was use to) and not mess with the system. True there's no Dick Lebeau in Buffalo, but Mario Williams didn't have fun playing outside linebacker his last season in Houston. Why make him do it again? No need to fix what isn't broken. Try finding a quarterback, Rex.
- It's been a relatively quiet off-season on the legal front. There have been a few arrests - mostly for drunk driving - and thankfully so after last year. Are players finally realizing there could be repercussions if they break the law? Ray Rice is seemingly shunned by the league, though is also an aging, less effective running back. Though Greg Hardy got paid nicely even though he's facing a lengthy suspension and there's plenty of interest in Adrian Peterson if the Vikings can't convince him to come back. It's still early in the off-season, but let's hope that NFL players (and let's include executives and owners) have learned the lesson that they are not above the law. For some reason Jameis Winston is coming to mind as I typed that last sentence...
- Speaking of Winston, reports have come out that the Buccaneers are leaning towards him with the #1 overall pick because they don't like how quiet and reserved Marcus Mariota is. Wait. What? How does that make any sense? Mariota is the better player, though he'll probably need some time to adjust to the NFL. But that shouldn't stop teams from taking him. Who cares if he needs to sit a season or two? The new CBA has locked in rookie contracts so that they aren't a burden on the team. Carson Palmer and Aaron Rodgers both sat on the bench for a couple of seasons after being drafted. Palmer has done pretty well for himself despite his knee issues and Rodgers is the best QB in football. Lovie Smith clearly knows nothing about quarterbacks. Good luck to them when they screw up the first pick of the 2015 NFL Draft.
- Speaking of Mariota, with more and more reports coming out about it, I'm believing the hype that Cleveland will trade up for him - possibly with the Titans though Washington remains a possibility since I don't believe the Titans will take a QB at #2. This offers more proof that Ray Farmer has no idea what he is doing. Did he go to the Matt Millen school of NFL General Managers? I think the Justin Gilbert pick last year will turn out ok, but he wasted his second first round pick on Manziel. Manziel is not an NFL QB and should just be cut - no one should ask for him to be included in a draft pick deal. It's not out of the question to consider that Farmer will give up more picks in an attempt to finally find a franchise QB for Cleveland. What they should do is stay where they are, draft a WR and another defensive piece in the first round, and then add someone like Brent Hundley from UCLA in the second round. But poorly run teams don't like doing what they should and instead think they're going to outsmart everyone by constantly reaching on players. Is there something in the water in Cleveland that causes people to make bad decisions?
- Getting away from the draft, this has been a very exciting off-season. Why? PLAYER TRADES! Trades involving players actually on NFL rosters rarely happen in the NFL and thankfully this off-season has been full of them! Philly has been the most active jettisoning LeSean McCoy and Nick Foles, but a bunch of other teams are getting in on the action as well. Keep it up, NFL! Trades generate a ton of interest from fans - just look at the MLB. The rising salary cap has helped make trades possible so teams can absorb bad contracts, which in turn generates buzz in every NFL market. There's also the issue of teams locking up their best players preventing them from hitting free agency. Less quality free agents means more trades! Please, please, please let this be a continuing trend in the NFL!
- The other interesting major development has been the retirement of four talented players. Well, ok, three talented players and Jake Locker. And all for very different reasons. Locker "lost his passion", though actually was barely good enough to be a back-up - though back-up QB in the NFL is not a bad gig. Patrick Willis has foot issues. Jason Worilds has decided to pursue other opportunities. The most interesting case is Chris Borland. He would be entering his second NFL season and was an excellent linebacker last year. He's leaving the game due to future potential health issues. He did his research, consulted with former players, and came to the conclusion that playing in the NFL wasn't worth possibly suffering from CTE later in life. This is somewhat reminiscent of Robert Smith retiring at the age of 28 while still productive, and playing with a young Randy Moss and a still effective Dante Culpepper. All of these players have people scratching their heads and questioning their decisions, but all should be applauded. Especially Borland. Here's to hoping that Chris Borland leaving the game because of potential brain trauma issues gets and keeps the conversation going about player safety in the NFL.
Please share your thoughts/questions about any of these topics or on this NFL off-season in general below.
Wednesday, February 18, 2015
Tom Brady - G.O.A.T.?
After winning his fourth Super Bowl in six tries, and once again being claimed the title game's MVP, many NFL writers and former NFL players are shouting from the rooftops that Tom Brady is the greatest NFL quarterback of all time. Why? Because he plays in an era where QB statistics have exploded and he's won those aforementioned Super Bowls. Do you know who else has won four Super Bowls? Terry Bradshaw with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Sadly this does not mean greatness. Bradshaw was an average quarterback, at best, who was blessed to play with two Hall of Fame wide receivers, a Hall of Fame running back, and a defense that was arguably one of the greatest defenses of all time. The third quarterback to win four Super Bowls? Joe Montana - a man widely considered to be the greatest QB of all time.
My top 5 all time QB list:
1. Joe Montana
2. Dan Marino
3. Roger Staubach
4. Peyton Manning
5. Johnny Unitas
So why isn't Brady on this list? Well, to start he's only had two truly great statistical seasons. One would be the famous 2006/2007 season when the only loss the Patriots suffered was against the Giants in the Super Bowl. That was also the season Belichick basically got Randy Moss from Oakland for a bag of (deflated) footballs and Moss remembered how great he was after leaving the Black Hole. Brady won his first NFL MVP award that year. His second truly great season came in 2010 when he set the record for TD:INT ratio and won his second MVP award. That's two truly great seasons out of the 14 Brady's been in the NFL. True he missed one season when Bernard Pollard destroyed his knee 8 minutes into the 2008 season. But the Patriots really didn't miss a beat with Matt "I Can't Believe I Tricked Scott Pioli Into Paying Me To Be a Starting QB" Cassel - going 11-5 and barely missing the playoffs. Would the Patriots have won an extra game and got into the playoffs with Brady at the helm instead? Maybe, but those are the breaks...
But four Super Bowls!?!? That must mean something since only two other players have done it in NFL History. Well, let's take a look at those...
Super Bowl XXXVI vs. St. Louis Rams
Brady was awful in this game - almost Ben Roethlisberger in his first Super Bowl awful - with a final stat line of 16/27 for 145 yds and 1 TD. We can forgive him for this because he was a rookie. This game was not won because of Brady. This game was won because the defense returned a Kurt Warner INT for a TD and the right leg of Adam Vinatieri.
Super Bowl XXXVIII vs. Carolina Panthers
Brady had a much better outing this time going 32/48 for 354 yds, 3 TDs, and 1 INT. Basically the same stat line Jake Delhomme put up, though he didn't throw a pick. This game will most be remembered for Panthers kicker John Casey kicking the ball out of bounds on a kickoff in the final moments of the game. This provided an opportunity for Brady to drive a very short distance so Vinatieri could once again win the game for the Patriots.
Super Bowl XXXIX vs. Philadelphia Eagles
This time around Brady was outplayed by Donavan McNabb. Brady went 23/33 for 236 yds and 1 TD while McNabb went 30/51 for 357 yds and 3 TDS. Unfortunately for McNabb he also threw 3 INTs. The Patriots defense won this game, and it sure didn't hurt to have a rejuvenated Corey Dillon. This game is also more remembered for Terrell Owens bitching about how McNabb couldn't run the offense because he was too busy throwing up in the huddle.
Super Bowl XLIX vs. Seattle Seahawks
Brady actually put up pretty great stats in this game going 37/50 with 328 yds and 4 TDs. But he also threw two picks, and had a lower QBR and QB Rating than Russell Wilson. Brady did win MVP, but my thoughts are that honor should have gone to Julian Edelman. Brady also spent most of the game throwing screen passes. This was reminiscent of Brad Johnson's Super Bowl with Jon Gruden and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. It's not exactly a compliment to be compared to Brad Johnson.
I won't even get into the two Super Bowl loses against the Giants (2007 & 2011). Brady was harassed by the Giants defensive line for 120 minutes in those games and he lost to Eli "I'm Still Better Known Than Cooper - Maybe" Manning - who himself is an average QB at best.
While Brady was an elite QB for some of his seasons in New England, he cannot be considered the Greatest of All Time (G.O.A.T.). He's not even in the conversation, though if I were to expand my Top 5 to a Top 10 there might be room for him on the list. But he would certainly come after some current QBs (Aaron Rodgers and Peyton Manning for instance) and some other guys who played in the same era. Plus he does that thing - A LOT - where he throws the ball into the ground, spins around, and falls to the ground. How could a guy be considered the greatest when he does that?
My top 5 all time QB list:
1. Joe Montana
2. Dan Marino
3. Roger Staubach
4. Peyton Manning
5. Johnny Unitas
So why isn't Brady on this list? Well, to start he's only had two truly great statistical seasons. One would be the famous 2006/2007 season when the only loss the Patriots suffered was against the Giants in the Super Bowl. That was also the season Belichick basically got Randy Moss from Oakland for a bag of (deflated) footballs and Moss remembered how great he was after leaving the Black Hole. Brady won his first NFL MVP award that year. His second truly great season came in 2010 when he set the record for TD:INT ratio and won his second MVP award. That's two truly great seasons out of the 14 Brady's been in the NFL. True he missed one season when Bernard Pollard destroyed his knee 8 minutes into the 2008 season. But the Patriots really didn't miss a beat with Matt "I Can't Believe I Tricked Scott Pioli Into Paying Me To Be a Starting QB" Cassel - going 11-5 and barely missing the playoffs. Would the Patriots have won an extra game and got into the playoffs with Brady at the helm instead? Maybe, but those are the breaks...
But four Super Bowls!?!? That must mean something since only two other players have done it in NFL History. Well, let's take a look at those...
Super Bowl XXXVI vs. St. Louis Rams
Brady was awful in this game - almost Ben Roethlisberger in his first Super Bowl awful - with a final stat line of 16/27 for 145 yds and 1 TD. We can forgive him for this because he was a rookie. This game was not won because of Brady. This game was won because the defense returned a Kurt Warner INT for a TD and the right leg of Adam Vinatieri.
Super Bowl XXXVIII vs. Carolina Panthers
Brady had a much better outing this time going 32/48 for 354 yds, 3 TDs, and 1 INT. Basically the same stat line Jake Delhomme put up, though he didn't throw a pick. This game will most be remembered for Panthers kicker John Casey kicking the ball out of bounds on a kickoff in the final moments of the game. This provided an opportunity for Brady to drive a very short distance so Vinatieri could once again win the game for the Patriots.
Super Bowl XXXIX vs. Philadelphia Eagles
This time around Brady was outplayed by Donavan McNabb. Brady went 23/33 for 236 yds and 1 TD while McNabb went 30/51 for 357 yds and 3 TDS. Unfortunately for McNabb he also threw 3 INTs. The Patriots defense won this game, and it sure didn't hurt to have a rejuvenated Corey Dillon. This game is also more remembered for Terrell Owens bitching about how McNabb couldn't run the offense because he was too busy throwing up in the huddle.
Super Bowl XLIX vs. Seattle Seahawks
Brady actually put up pretty great stats in this game going 37/50 with 328 yds and 4 TDs. But he also threw two picks, and had a lower QBR and QB Rating than Russell Wilson. Brady did win MVP, but my thoughts are that honor should have gone to Julian Edelman. Brady also spent most of the game throwing screen passes. This was reminiscent of Brad Johnson's Super Bowl with Jon Gruden and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. It's not exactly a compliment to be compared to Brad Johnson.
I won't even get into the two Super Bowl loses against the Giants (2007 & 2011). Brady was harassed by the Giants defensive line for 120 minutes in those games and he lost to Eli "I'm Still Better Known Than Cooper - Maybe" Manning - who himself is an average QB at best.
While Brady was an elite QB for some of his seasons in New England, he cannot be considered the Greatest of All Time (G.O.A.T.). He's not even in the conversation, though if I were to expand my Top 5 to a Top 10 there might be room for him on the list. But he would certainly come after some current QBs (Aaron Rodgers and Peyton Manning for instance) and some other guys who played in the same era. Plus he does that thing - A LOT - where he throws the ball into the ground, spins around, and falls to the ground. How could a guy be considered the greatest when he does that?
Saturday, December 6, 2014
The Raiders Need Rex Ryan
The Oakland Raiders are set to earn another in a long line of top 10 picks in the upcoming draft - being the frontrunners for the #1 overall pick. They lack playmakers and they lack leadership. Interim head coach Tony Sparano is not a legitimate choice to lead the team beyond this season. He's a decent offensive line coach, but this is the same man who's amazing innovation brought an offensive scheme from the 1920's to the 21st century. General Manager Reggie McKenzie knows he needs a head coach who can inspire his players. It would be great if that guy could also help mold Derek Carr, but a solid leader is what they need the most.
Most reports from people with actual connections to the NFL signal that Jim Harbaugh will head to Oakland when he finally wears out his welcome in San Francisco. But why would McKenzie hire a guy who is going to butt heads with him at every turn? Harbaugh does have a track record of turning around teams - see his work at Stanford and most recently with the 49ers. He would also be a great mentor for Derek Carr. However, I think Harbaugh ends up going home to Michigan or, if he prefers to stay in the NFL, ends up taking over for Ryan in New York. I think he'd prefer New York since he'd get to pick his own QB of the future instead of being saddled with Carr.
So Harbaugh would go to New York to battle Bill Belichick twice a year and honestly who doesn't want to see those two game plan against each other!? Ryan, on the other hand, will almost assuredly be let go by the Jets at the end of the season so their GM, John Idzik, can select his own head coach. After missing out on Harbaugh, Ryan makes a lot of sense to lead the Silver and Black.
While he has shown that he cannot develop a young QB, Ryan brings a lot of credentials that Oakland has been missing since Jon Gruden got shipped to Tampa Bay. With his offensive deficiencies Ryan would need to hire an offensive coordinator who can develop Carr, and no, Marty Morhinweg is not the answer. How about Jay Gruden if/when Daniel Snyder fires him for being mean to his beloved RGIII? He helped Andy Dalton look good. Jay hasn't looked at good in our nation's capitol, but Washington is a worse mess than the Jets right now.
The Raiders need help on defense too. If Ryan can convince McKenzie and Mark Davis that he'll bring in a guy to develop Carr then he should get the job. Ryan is a masterful defensive mind and he's a hell of a motivator. Just look at all the current Jets players who are standing up for him to the press. They love playing for him and they play hard for him too. Passion to play the game of football left Oakland 12 years ago and Ryan will bring plenty of passion with him. If he fails, he'll end up becoming a defensive coordinator somewhere - at least for awhile. But why not go big? See if Ryan can bring back some of that excellence Oakland claims to be committed to.
Most reports from people with actual connections to the NFL signal that Jim Harbaugh will head to Oakland when he finally wears out his welcome in San Francisco. But why would McKenzie hire a guy who is going to butt heads with him at every turn? Harbaugh does have a track record of turning around teams - see his work at Stanford and most recently with the 49ers. He would also be a great mentor for Derek Carr. However, I think Harbaugh ends up going home to Michigan or, if he prefers to stay in the NFL, ends up taking over for Ryan in New York. I think he'd prefer New York since he'd get to pick his own QB of the future instead of being saddled with Carr.
So Harbaugh would go to New York to battle Bill Belichick twice a year and honestly who doesn't want to see those two game plan against each other!? Ryan, on the other hand, will almost assuredly be let go by the Jets at the end of the season so their GM, John Idzik, can select his own head coach. After missing out on Harbaugh, Ryan makes a lot of sense to lead the Silver and Black.
While he has shown that he cannot develop a young QB, Ryan brings a lot of credentials that Oakland has been missing since Jon Gruden got shipped to Tampa Bay. With his offensive deficiencies Ryan would need to hire an offensive coordinator who can develop Carr, and no, Marty Morhinweg is not the answer. How about Jay Gruden if/when Daniel Snyder fires him for being mean to his beloved RGIII? He helped Andy Dalton look good. Jay hasn't looked at good in our nation's capitol, but Washington is a worse mess than the Jets right now.
The Raiders need help on defense too. If Ryan can convince McKenzie and Mark Davis that he'll bring in a guy to develop Carr then he should get the job. Ryan is a masterful defensive mind and he's a hell of a motivator. Just look at all the current Jets players who are standing up for him to the press. They love playing for him and they play hard for him too. Passion to play the game of football left Oakland 12 years ago and Ryan will bring plenty of passion with him. If he fails, he'll end up becoming a defensive coordinator somewhere - at least for awhile. But why not go big? See if Ryan can bring back some of that excellence Oakland claims to be committed to.
Friday, November 21, 2014
Troy Polamalu - Thank You and Goodbye
I should start out disclosing that I am a diehard Steelers fan and I have loved watching Polamalu fly around, terrorizing opposing offenses for the last 12 seasons. He - along with Casey Hampton, Lamarr Woodley, and James Harrison - has been the heart of the most recent incarnation of the Steel Curtain. Despite everything he's meant to the team, the city, and fans across the country it's time for the Steelers to say good-bye to yet another celebrated and decorated defensive stalwart. Over the past few seasons we have seen Pittsburgh cut or fail to resign Hampton, Woodley, and Harrison when they became too injury prone, expensive, or lost too much of their ability. While the Steelers did resign Harrison (after an uneventful year in Cincinnati), the move was out of desperation after training camp injuries left the linebacking corps thin. There are a few reasons why Polamalu should be the next great Steelers defensive player released during the 2015 offseason.
- Polamalu is 33 years old and has battled injuries the last few years. While he played all 16 regular season games in 2011 (when he won defensive player of the year) and 2013, he missed significant time in 2012 and has missed several more games so far this season. He's missed the last two weeks due to a knee injury. If we apply the theory that the SanFrancisco Giants will win the World Series in even years, then we could also make the argument that Polamalu will be healthy in 2015. However, I fail to see how a (will be) 34 year old safety with a history of bad knees will somehow stay healthy.
- Polamalu's cap hit in 2015 is $8.25 million. That's a lot of money for an injury prone player who's lost a lot of his effectiveness. If the Steelers cut him before the 2015 season they'll have $4.5 million in dead money on their cap. Overall that would mean a savings of $3.75 million. If the Steelers cut him before 2016 (the last year of his current contract) they'd have $2.25 million of dead money out of an $8 million cap hit. They'd save more money waiting a year, but why delay the inevitable?
- The Steelers should use the money they'd save cutting Polamalu (coupled with an extension for Roethlisberger) and use it to upgrade the most neglected part of their team - the cornerback position. And by upgrade I mean stop waiting until the 5th round of the draft to take a corner. Maybe be crazy and take one in the 3rd?
- The Steelers will miss Polamalu's leadership but they have a replacement, from a playing perspective, who will be ready to step in on a full time basis next year - Shamarko Thomas. Thomas will be entering his third season, which is typically when Dick Lebeau expects his players to make a huge leap in their development. Thomas is not the same caliber of player as Polamalu (no one really is), but his play will be better than that of what Polamalu has become.
- Polamalu's game is based on instinct and timing. He has made more than a few spectacular plays over the years because of this, and has even managed a few this year. But more often than not trying to make a big play has left Polamalu out of position and has resulted in more than a few big plays.
Troy Polamalu has meant everything to Steelers fans over his amazing career. He is no doubt a future Hall of Famer. He may still think that he has a lot to offer as a player - his leadership ability cannot be questioned - but if he wants to keep playing, it should not be in Black and Gold after this year. The Steelers need to say good-bye to Troy, just as they have to several defensive greats who have come before him.
- Polamalu is 33 years old and has battled injuries the last few years. While he played all 16 regular season games in 2011 (when he won defensive player of the year) and 2013, he missed significant time in 2012 and has missed several more games so far this season. He's missed the last two weeks due to a knee injury. If we apply the theory that the SanFrancisco Giants will win the World Series in even years, then we could also make the argument that Polamalu will be healthy in 2015. However, I fail to see how a (will be) 34 year old safety with a history of bad knees will somehow stay healthy.
- Polamalu's cap hit in 2015 is $8.25 million. That's a lot of money for an injury prone player who's lost a lot of his effectiveness. If the Steelers cut him before the 2015 season they'll have $4.5 million in dead money on their cap. Overall that would mean a savings of $3.75 million. If the Steelers cut him before 2016 (the last year of his current contract) they'd have $2.25 million of dead money out of an $8 million cap hit. They'd save more money waiting a year, but why delay the inevitable?
- The Steelers should use the money they'd save cutting Polamalu (coupled with an extension for Roethlisberger) and use it to upgrade the most neglected part of their team - the cornerback position. And by upgrade I mean stop waiting until the 5th round of the draft to take a corner. Maybe be crazy and take one in the 3rd?
- The Steelers will miss Polamalu's leadership but they have a replacement, from a playing perspective, who will be ready to step in on a full time basis next year - Shamarko Thomas. Thomas will be entering his third season, which is typically when Dick Lebeau expects his players to make a huge leap in their development. Thomas is not the same caliber of player as Polamalu (no one really is), but his play will be better than that of what Polamalu has become.
- Polamalu's game is based on instinct and timing. He has made more than a few spectacular plays over the years because of this, and has even managed a few this year. But more often than not trying to make a big play has left Polamalu out of position and has resulted in more than a few big plays.
Troy Polamalu has meant everything to Steelers fans over his amazing career. He is no doubt a future Hall of Famer. He may still think that he has a lot to offer as a player - his leadership ability cannot be questioned - but if he wants to keep playing, it should not be in Black and Gold after this year. The Steelers need to say good-bye to Troy, just as they have to several defensive greats who have come before him.
Saturday, November 1, 2014
Some Thoughts on College Football
It's been a while since my last post and I hope I haven't kept you on the edge of your seat, anxiously waiting for my immortal wisdom. I also hope people who read my post on fantasy football players I like this year aren't too mad - sorry about Toby Gerhart, I should have known better. But who's happy with Phillip Rivers leading their team? Anyone?
Anyway, I was trying to think of something NFL related to write about this time but I'm watching college football as I write. Call it inspiration, or laziness, or whatever - but here are some thoughts on the state of college football.
- Not many, if any, of you who will read this will agree, but I think college football is was more exciting and interesting to watch than the NFL. Maybe it's because I've watched the college game for two more years than the NFL, but I honestly think the games are more exciting. Every single game a team plays matters - though a little less so with the new playoff system, but still important - and you genuinely never know when an upset is going to occur. Boise State beating Oklahoma in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl (with the Statue of Liberty play no less!) and Appalachian State going into The Big House to defeat Michigan (also in 2007, with Michigan ranked #5 at the time) are two examples of two of the best upsets in football of all time. Upsets in the NFL feel less-fulfilling since, you know, they're all professionals and get paid to play football. I love the NFL, I just love the college game a little bit more.
- One reason college football is a little more exciting this year is the start of a brand new playoff system to determine a "true national champion"! College football is a game of tradition if anything else. The Pac-1o Champ plays the Big-10 Champ in the Rose Bowl. Ohio State and Michigan have and always will hate each other. And every conference has an association with the (now) way too many bowl games that exist. The bowl games have been in place for ever and the Associated Press (until near the end of the BCS era) has determined the top 25 teams in the country basically since teams started playing. Despite not playing a role in the BCS (who can blame them really) and not really factoring into the new playoff rankings, the AP Poll still matters to a lot of people. The problem with that system was that the top two teams in the country never got a chance to play each other in a bowl game to determine the winner. Enter the BCS where we had computers picking the best two teams in the country (after the AP rightfully did not want to be associated with this nonsense). I'm really excited for a college playoff. It just needs to be bigger and I think it will be soon. Let's also hope that the selection committee does an adequate job of selecting the four participants for this year.
- The "experts" tasked to join football's answer to the March Madness Selection Committee recently released their first poll of the season. There's not much to argue with, with it being the initial ranking, since only the final ranking in December will matter - but there's definitely an inherent love of the SEC in these rankings. I know most people who follow both college and pro football think the SEC should just swap places with the AFC South, but the league isn't so much better than the other conferences that those one-loss second place SEC teams should be ranked so much higher than one-loss conference leaders. I think they're setting it up so that a potential one or two loss SEC Champ - and possible a one loss SEC team that doesn't participate in the conference championship game - definitely gets in. I'm one, of many, who think that the college football playoff should only be open to conference champions.
- Speaking of conference champions, I should disclose that I'm a huge Notre Dame fan. You probably hate me a little bit more right now. Despite my fandom, it's time for Notre Dame to join a fucking conference in football. They've already jumped ship from the (now defunct) Big East and have joined the ACC in all other sports. In turn they have made the ACC a mightier powerhouse when it comes to college lacrosse. So just join the conference in football already! Yeah, it doesn't make sense in terms of geography, but the college football geographical landscape has changed a lot over the last few years. In fact, no more independents at all! Every team should join a fucking conference! There are ten conferences (with four independent schools) in the FBS division (Division I, i.e. major college sports). If every team joined a conference and every conference had a championship game, then college football could have a ten-team playoff using some of the current bowl games for playoff match-ups and the top two teams could get a bye. If my math doesn't work out, let the two highest ranked conference game losers in as wildcards and give us a twelve team college playoff! I don't think I'm the only fan who wants to see this.
- A lot of you, even if you don't follow the college game, have heard the name Jameis Winston. He's the defending Heisman winner and widely perceived to be the best player at the college level. He's not. Despite being undefeated (so far) as a starter at Florida State, he makes too many poor decisions. He threw three more interceptions against Louisville on Thursday night (giving him nine so far this year - he threw ten last year when he won the Heisman) and he tends to lock onto his primary receiver or decide to scramble if that guy isn't open. Some people think he's comparable to Cam Newton - I think he's more comparable to Vince Young. He's incredibly immature and thinks he's better than he is because he's treated like a god on his campus. He's going to make an NFL Head Coach and GM regret taking him next April.
- Why do we still pretend that college football players are student athletes when announcers constantly refer to first year players as rookies? They're freshmen - either true freshmen or redshirt freshmen - certainly not rookies.
- I find it humorous that juniors and seniors in college are praised for their game experience but when they reach the NFL commentators note their lack of experience as rookies. Hence the term "rookie mistakes". I know it takes time to adjust to the speed of the NFL, but this is their livelihood and they aren't as inexperienced as commentators lead you to believe.
- I'm watching the TCU-WVU game as I write this and I can honestly say this is the best game I've watched in a while. Both teams are hailed for their offensive ability - TCU had the #1 offense in the nation coming into this game - but the defenses have stolen the show. WVU has played an aggressive defensive scheme. While it hasn't always worked out, it's been awesome to watch when it has. Update: TCU won this game with a field goal as time expired to keep their playoff hopes alive. Great and exciting game!
- Speaking of two Big-12 teams, the conference is underrated and will probably be left out of the first college playoff. That's what happens when you lose a few teams and can't play a conference championship game. Meanwhile, the Big-10 is properly rated (it sucks) and will also probably miss out on the playoff.
- My top four teams as of right now that should be in the playoff? 1 - Mississippi State, 2 - Florida State (they should have lost to Notre Dame but, alas, they are undefeated - for now), 3 - Oregon, 4 - Michigan State. Notre Dame is out because, again, you should win a conference to be in the playoff! That last sentence hurt to write.
- Notre Dame plays Navy tonight. The Fighting Irish are coming off a tough loss to Florida State (again, a game they should have won) and a bye. Navy typically plays them tough but I don't think the game will be close. Instead I'll be paying more attention to Stanford vs. Oregon and Auburn vs. Ole Miss. Stanford/Oregon is a classic old school vs. new school game. Oregon's offense is fast and is innovating even the pro game while Stanford can run and plays stout defense. Auburn/Ole Miss is basically an elimination game for the playoff, based on the current rankings. Update: Stanford/Oregon was a blowout. Notre Dame/Navy was much closer. A little too close for comfort. Glad I mostly stuck with the Notre Dame game.
Thanks for staying with me throughout this. Please leave your thoughts and/or comments below. Also, if there's an interest, I'll do a future post on my idea for a college football playoff that I came up with back in college. Fuck it, I'll end up doing it even if there's no interest.
Anyway, I was trying to think of something NFL related to write about this time but I'm watching college football as I write. Call it inspiration, or laziness, or whatever - but here are some thoughts on the state of college football.
- Not many, if any, of you who will read this will agree, but I think college football is was more exciting and interesting to watch than the NFL. Maybe it's because I've watched the college game for two more years than the NFL, but I honestly think the games are more exciting. Every single game a team plays matters - though a little less so with the new playoff system, but still important - and you genuinely never know when an upset is going to occur. Boise State beating Oklahoma in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl (with the Statue of Liberty play no less!) and Appalachian State going into The Big House to defeat Michigan (also in 2007, with Michigan ranked #5 at the time) are two examples of two of the best upsets in football of all time. Upsets in the NFL feel less-fulfilling since, you know, they're all professionals and get paid to play football. I love the NFL, I just love the college game a little bit more.
- One reason college football is a little more exciting this year is the start of a brand new playoff system to determine a "true national champion"! College football is a game of tradition if anything else. The Pac-1o Champ plays the Big-10 Champ in the Rose Bowl. Ohio State and Michigan have and always will hate each other. And every conference has an association with the (now) way too many bowl games that exist. The bowl games have been in place for ever and the Associated Press (until near the end of the BCS era) has determined the top 25 teams in the country basically since teams started playing. Despite not playing a role in the BCS (who can blame them really) and not really factoring into the new playoff rankings, the AP Poll still matters to a lot of people. The problem with that system was that the top two teams in the country never got a chance to play each other in a bowl game to determine the winner. Enter the BCS where we had computers picking the best two teams in the country (after the AP rightfully did not want to be associated with this nonsense). I'm really excited for a college playoff. It just needs to be bigger and I think it will be soon. Let's also hope that the selection committee does an adequate job of selecting the four participants for this year.
- The "experts" tasked to join football's answer to the March Madness Selection Committee recently released their first poll of the season. There's not much to argue with, with it being the initial ranking, since only the final ranking in December will matter - but there's definitely an inherent love of the SEC in these rankings. I know most people who follow both college and pro football think the SEC should just swap places with the AFC South, but the league isn't so much better than the other conferences that those one-loss second place SEC teams should be ranked so much higher than one-loss conference leaders. I think they're setting it up so that a potential one or two loss SEC Champ - and possible a one loss SEC team that doesn't participate in the conference championship game - definitely gets in. I'm one, of many, who think that the college football playoff should only be open to conference champions.
- Speaking of conference champions, I should disclose that I'm a huge Notre Dame fan. You probably hate me a little bit more right now. Despite my fandom, it's time for Notre Dame to join a fucking conference in football. They've already jumped ship from the (now defunct) Big East and have joined the ACC in all other sports. In turn they have made the ACC a mightier powerhouse when it comes to college lacrosse. So just join the conference in football already! Yeah, it doesn't make sense in terms of geography, but the college football geographical landscape has changed a lot over the last few years. In fact, no more independents at all! Every team should join a fucking conference! There are ten conferences (with four independent schools) in the FBS division (Division I, i.e. major college sports). If every team joined a conference and every conference had a championship game, then college football could have a ten-team playoff using some of the current bowl games for playoff match-ups and the top two teams could get a bye. If my math doesn't work out, let the two highest ranked conference game losers in as wildcards and give us a twelve team college playoff! I don't think I'm the only fan who wants to see this.
- A lot of you, even if you don't follow the college game, have heard the name Jameis Winston. He's the defending Heisman winner and widely perceived to be the best player at the college level. He's not. Despite being undefeated (so far) as a starter at Florida State, he makes too many poor decisions. He threw three more interceptions against Louisville on Thursday night (giving him nine so far this year - he threw ten last year when he won the Heisman) and he tends to lock onto his primary receiver or decide to scramble if that guy isn't open. Some people think he's comparable to Cam Newton - I think he's more comparable to Vince Young. He's incredibly immature and thinks he's better than he is because he's treated like a god on his campus. He's going to make an NFL Head Coach and GM regret taking him next April.
- Why do we still pretend that college football players are student athletes when announcers constantly refer to first year players as rookies? They're freshmen - either true freshmen or redshirt freshmen - certainly not rookies.
- I find it humorous that juniors and seniors in college are praised for their game experience but when they reach the NFL commentators note their lack of experience as rookies. Hence the term "rookie mistakes". I know it takes time to adjust to the speed of the NFL, but this is their livelihood and they aren't as inexperienced as commentators lead you to believe.
- I'm watching the TCU-WVU game as I write this and I can honestly say this is the best game I've watched in a while. Both teams are hailed for their offensive ability - TCU had the #1 offense in the nation coming into this game - but the defenses have stolen the show. WVU has played an aggressive defensive scheme. While it hasn't always worked out, it's been awesome to watch when it has. Update: TCU won this game with a field goal as time expired to keep their playoff hopes alive. Great and exciting game!
- Speaking of two Big-12 teams, the conference is underrated and will probably be left out of the first college playoff. That's what happens when you lose a few teams and can't play a conference championship game. Meanwhile, the Big-10 is properly rated (it sucks) and will also probably miss out on the playoff.
- My top four teams as of right now that should be in the playoff? 1 - Mississippi State, 2 - Florida State (they should have lost to Notre Dame but, alas, they are undefeated - for now), 3 - Oregon, 4 - Michigan State. Notre Dame is out because, again, you should win a conference to be in the playoff! That last sentence hurt to write.
- Notre Dame plays Navy tonight. The Fighting Irish are coming off a tough loss to Florida State (again, a game they should have won) and a bye. Navy typically plays them tough but I don't think the game will be close. Instead I'll be paying more attention to Stanford vs. Oregon and Auburn vs. Ole Miss. Stanford/Oregon is a classic old school vs. new school game. Oregon's offense is fast and is innovating even the pro game while Stanford can run and plays stout defense. Auburn/Ole Miss is basically an elimination game for the playoff, based on the current rankings. Update: Stanford/Oregon was a blowout. Notre Dame/Navy was much closer. A little too close for comfort. Glad I mostly stuck with the Notre Dame game.
Thanks for staying with me throughout this. Please leave your thoughts and/or comments below. Also, if there's an interest, I'll do a future post on my idea for a college football playoff that I came up with back in college. Fuck it, I'll end up doing it even if there's no interest.
Thursday, August 28, 2014
No Good Bums
In my last post I wrote about some decent options for fantasy football. This time around I'll be listing off some guys that I would not want, or at least hesitate to, draft. Some of the guys I mention below are players that I expect will have a significant decline in their fantasy value while other guys I expect to fall just a hair shy of expectations. I'm not going to list obvious guys like Chris "CJNoK" Johnson or Shaun Hill - nobody wants them.
Lower Your Expectations (Guys I would draft but lower than in previous years/lower than when the experts say to draft them):
Calvin Johnson - WR, Lions: Let's start off with the biggest name that will appear on this list. While he is the greatest wide receiver on the planet and will go down as one of the all time greats at his position, there is reason to believe that he will fall just short of the monster numbers that we're use to seeing from him. Detroit added a 2nd WR (Golden Tate), and they've been really working on screen plays to Reggie Bush and the rest of the running backs. While he'll finish the season as one of the top fantasy receivers (especially with Josh Gordon done for the year), don't expect 100+ yards and a touchdown or 2 every week.
Kyle Rudolph - TE, Vikings: Everyone is predicting that he's going to have a huge year. Why? Norv Turner, that's why. Just look what he did with Antonio Gates! While TE's have thrived in Turner's offensive schemes, there's a lot else going on with this offense. The Vikings have 3 pretty decent WR's (Greg Jennings, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Jerome Simpson) and Adrian Peterson is going to be more involved in the passing game. Norv, in my opinion, actually helps out his running backs more. Just look what he did with Emmitt Smith, Frank Gore, and Ladainian Tomlinson. Plus his QB is Matt Cassell. I'll feel better about him once Teddy Bridgewater becomes the starter.
Cam Newton - QB, Panthers: Who is he going to throw to? A rookie, an aging TE, and a bunch of nobodies. His running ability adds to his value but he gets hurt a lot. He needed surgery on his ankles this offseason and now he has a bruised/broken rib. He'll be starting week 1, but how long can he last? He'd be a good mid-round selection if you put off drafting your starting QB for some reason, or a solid back-up for bye weeks and match-up purposes. However, I don't want him leading my fantasy football team.
Andy Dalton - QB, Bengals: He's put up pretty decent numbers throwing to AJ Green the past couple of years, but I don't really trust him this year. Yeah the Bengals just gave him a huge vote of confidence signing him to a big deal. But let's look at another AFC North QB who recently cashed in and then was horrible - Joe Flacco. Dalton probably won't be as wildly inconsistent as Flacco was last year, but I'm not drafting a mid-tier QB who recently signed an elite QB deal to lead my team. Though he's another good back-up option.
Arian Foster - RB, Texans: He's coming off a lost season, is in a new offensive scheme that's not as RB friendly, and his QB is Ryan Fitzpatrick. He could surprise, but in my eyes he's not a first round fantasy pick any more. Maybe not even a second rounder.
Fools Gold (Avoid these guys, they will disappoint!):
Tom Brady - QB & Rob Gronkowski - TE, Patriots: These two are tied together because without Gronk, Brady has no one, NO ONE, to throw to. Gronk is one step away from another season ending injury. Counting on him to stay healthy is like counting on getting struck by lighting, winning the lottery, and surviving the Apocalypse all in one night. Brady, as I mentioned, has no one else to throw to and he just lost his best offensive lineman for future players. Brady's future is now and Belichick continues to waste it. Sorry, Bill and fantasy owners, but 2007 was a long time ago.
Eli Manning - QB, Giants: I've never liked Manning. Out of the 3 top QBs in the 2004 draft, he should have been the last one picked. He was lucky in both Super Bowl runs (aided by great defense - DEFENSE WINS CHAMPIONSHIPS!!!) and is struggling to learn a new offense. All he's ever had is his last name, and he's certainly never come close to being Peyton Lite. Hell, he's never come close to being Cooper Lite.
Maurice Jones Drew - RB, Raiders: One of the best backs in the league finally got out of Jacksonville and then promptly landed with the Raiders. He's getting old (for a RB), he's taken a ton of hits throughout his career, and he's going split carries with Darren McFadden. But then again, maybe he'll become a touchdown vulture for all those points this prolific Raiders offense is going to score this year...
Torrey Smith - WR, Ravens: Smith is still a bit of a one trick pony - he likes to run deep. Though he averaged 17.4 yards per catch last year, he also only scored 4 touchdowns. I don't trust Joe Flacco and Gary Kubiak incorporates his running backs (Pierce could be a steal this year) and TEs more.
Mike Wallace - WR, Dolphins: He was never worth the massive contract Miami gave him a couple of off-seasons ago and he's more of a one trick pony than Torrey Smith. He and Ryan Tannehill have never been on the same page and there's no reason to think it's suddenly going to click. His stats were more in line with a #2 receiver last year and that trend should continue. Plus he gets moody when things don't go well and no one wants to deal with that.
So there you have it, ten guys that people think will help your fantasy team this year but won't. If you disagree with the list and/or think someone else should be added, leave a comment below. You can also send a tastefully written e-mail about how stupid I am to spunkmeyeronsports@gmail.com.
Lower Your Expectations (Guys I would draft but lower than in previous years/lower than when the experts say to draft them):
Calvin Johnson - WR, Lions: Let's start off with the biggest name that will appear on this list. While he is the greatest wide receiver on the planet and will go down as one of the all time greats at his position, there is reason to believe that he will fall just short of the monster numbers that we're use to seeing from him. Detroit added a 2nd WR (Golden Tate), and they've been really working on screen plays to Reggie Bush and the rest of the running backs. While he'll finish the season as one of the top fantasy receivers (especially with Josh Gordon done for the year), don't expect 100+ yards and a touchdown or 2 every week.
Kyle Rudolph - TE, Vikings: Everyone is predicting that he's going to have a huge year. Why? Norv Turner, that's why. Just look what he did with Antonio Gates! While TE's have thrived in Turner's offensive schemes, there's a lot else going on with this offense. The Vikings have 3 pretty decent WR's (Greg Jennings, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Jerome Simpson) and Adrian Peterson is going to be more involved in the passing game. Norv, in my opinion, actually helps out his running backs more. Just look what he did with Emmitt Smith, Frank Gore, and Ladainian Tomlinson. Plus his QB is Matt Cassell. I'll feel better about him once Teddy Bridgewater becomes the starter.
Cam Newton - QB, Panthers: Who is he going to throw to? A rookie, an aging TE, and a bunch of nobodies. His running ability adds to his value but he gets hurt a lot. He needed surgery on his ankles this offseason and now he has a bruised/broken rib. He'll be starting week 1, but how long can he last? He'd be a good mid-round selection if you put off drafting your starting QB for some reason, or a solid back-up for bye weeks and match-up purposes. However, I don't want him leading my fantasy football team.
Andy Dalton - QB, Bengals: He's put up pretty decent numbers throwing to AJ Green the past couple of years, but I don't really trust him this year. Yeah the Bengals just gave him a huge vote of confidence signing him to a big deal. But let's look at another AFC North QB who recently cashed in and then was horrible - Joe Flacco. Dalton probably won't be as wildly inconsistent as Flacco was last year, but I'm not drafting a mid-tier QB who recently signed an elite QB deal to lead my team. Though he's another good back-up option.
Arian Foster - RB, Texans: He's coming off a lost season, is in a new offensive scheme that's not as RB friendly, and his QB is Ryan Fitzpatrick. He could surprise, but in my eyes he's not a first round fantasy pick any more. Maybe not even a second rounder.
Fools Gold (Avoid these guys, they will disappoint!):
Tom Brady - QB & Rob Gronkowski - TE, Patriots: These two are tied together because without Gronk, Brady has no one, NO ONE, to throw to. Gronk is one step away from another season ending injury. Counting on him to stay healthy is like counting on getting struck by lighting, winning the lottery, and surviving the Apocalypse all in one night. Brady, as I mentioned, has no one else to throw to and he just lost his best offensive lineman for future players. Brady's future is now and Belichick continues to waste it. Sorry, Bill and fantasy owners, but 2007 was a long time ago.
Eli Manning - QB, Giants: I've never liked Manning. Out of the 3 top QBs in the 2004 draft, he should have been the last one picked. He was lucky in both Super Bowl runs (aided by great defense - DEFENSE WINS CHAMPIONSHIPS!!!) and is struggling to learn a new offense. All he's ever had is his last name, and he's certainly never come close to being Peyton Lite. Hell, he's never come close to being Cooper Lite.
Maurice Jones Drew - RB, Raiders: One of the best backs in the league finally got out of Jacksonville and then promptly landed with the Raiders. He's getting old (for a RB), he's taken a ton of hits throughout his career, and he's going split carries with Darren McFadden. But then again, maybe he'll become a touchdown vulture for all those points this prolific Raiders offense is going to score this year...
Torrey Smith - WR, Ravens: Smith is still a bit of a one trick pony - he likes to run deep. Though he averaged 17.4 yards per catch last year, he also only scored 4 touchdowns. I don't trust Joe Flacco and Gary Kubiak incorporates his running backs (Pierce could be a steal this year) and TEs more.
Mike Wallace - WR, Dolphins: He was never worth the massive contract Miami gave him a couple of off-seasons ago and he's more of a one trick pony than Torrey Smith. He and Ryan Tannehill have never been on the same page and there's no reason to think it's suddenly going to click. His stats were more in line with a #2 receiver last year and that trend should continue. Plus he gets moody when things don't go well and no one wants to deal with that.
So there you have it, ten guys that people think will help your fantasy team this year but won't. If you disagree with the list and/or think someone else should be added, leave a comment below. You can also send a tastefully written e-mail about how stupid I am to spunkmeyeronsports@gmail.com.
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