Tuesday, September 29, 2015

A New, but Old, Tale of Cleveland Misery: Johnny Manziel

Let me start by saying that the futility in Cleveland is laughably absurd. Ray Farmer, GM of the Browns, has no idea what he's doing with the roster and may not have an idea of what NFL rules are. Farmer decided not to help his handpicked quarterback of the future, more on that in a minute, and neglected the wide receiver position in free agency and the draft. The two "notable" moves he made were giving Terrelle Pryor a tryout (since cut, still trying to catch on as a wide receiver somewhere after showing he will never be an NFL QB) and signing Dwayne Bowe. Bowe had a monster campaign in 2010 with over 1,100 yards and 15 TDs but has gotten worse each season since. Not exactly a trend that most teams would pay money for, but hey, this is the Browns. True, Travis Benjamin has been a revelation this season, but he's in his fourth year and has never produced much of anything before this year. Maybe he just needed a chance and maybe he'll burn out - who knows but my money's on the latter. Farmer, I'm sure with some input from owner Jimmy Haslam, also decided that to stop the rotating door of Cleveland QBs he would draft Johnny Manziel. He probably thought Russell Wilson is doing pretty good, and Manziel is slightly taller and slightly more athletic, so Manziel will probably pan out. He was wrong when he drafted Manziel and he's still wrong.

Mike Pettine, head coach of the Browns, isn't doing much better at trying to turn around the franchise. He's helped coach up one of the best secondaries in the NFL and inherited what should be one of the best offensive lines in football, but he's made matters worse by deciding that Josh McCown gives the team a better chance to win and hasn't put in any effort in developing Manziel as a quarterback. Yeah, Manziel didn't help himself in college and his first pro season by living up to his Johnny Football persona, but reports this year have indicated that he's now willing to put in the effort to improve himself. If the Browns actually believe that Manziel could be the future for the franchise, why do they continue to insist that a 36-year old journeyman is the better option right now? Obviously the coaching staff has zero confidence in Manziel, but the best move forward for the team would be to start him the rest of the season no matter what. He'll have good games and more than his share of bad games and moments, but he needs to play so the Browns can evaluate the position more clearly in the offseason. No matter who starts they're most likely going to be in a great position to draft a QB early in the 2016 draft anyway.

But Manziel's future in the league is not as a quarterback. If it hasn't been obvious so far, I have severe doubts that Manziel could even be a competent back up. Instead I think he could have a decent NFL future as a wide receiver. There is a lot of precedent for making such a move as several players have done it. The two most prominent being Hines Ward and Julian Edelman. Manziel will never be the quality players that Ward was and Edelman is, but plenty of other guys have made the switch and managed to stay in the league a decent amount of time. Players such as Antwaan Randle El, Denard Robinson, Joshua Cribbs, and Brad Smith have done decently enough. Terrelle Pryor is still trying to find his footing but he should be ok. Even Braxton Miller, former Ohio State quarterback, figured out his future was at another position and has made the change during his final season of NCAA eligibility.

But what receiving position would Manziel play? Well, based on his rushing ability in college and his skill set, playing the slot would be his best bet. Throw him some quick outs and slants and let him try to create plays after the catch. You could even run some reverses and have him throw from a reverse every once in awhile. The question is, would Manziel buy into this? Is he as stubborn as Tim Tebow who is out of the league (again) after refusing to make a position switch? Can he be mature enough to realize his own shortcomings and make a decision that could prolong his playing career? Or his he vying for a position alongside Tebow with the SEC-Network? Only time will tell but officials in Cleveland need to think of this and approach him about making the switch - but then again it's Cleveland.

In a perfect scenario, the coaching staff would have him make the switch now. Give him a couple or few weeks to practice his new position and keep it simple for him while he transitions. And McCown wouldn't be the one throwing him the ball. Rather, Connor Shaw should get a chance to show what he can do. Having Manziel in the slot, Shaw behind center, McCown on the bench, Benjamin on the outside, and a sure to improve (if only slightly because it can't get any worse) running game can't be any worse than what the Browns have right now....and then next April Cleveland can draft another QB to add to that famous jersey with all the Browns quarterbacks since 2002. At the very least they should just cut their loses and try to trade Manziel to a team interested in making him a receiver - Chip Kelly anyone?

Monday, September 14, 2015

Random Thoughts: Week 1

We're through the first round of Sunday action in the NFL, and while I only watched a couple of games (thanks cable, and thanks Fox for only showing a 1pm game in New England) I have some thoughts on some players. These are just observations and opinions on my part, but I stand by them. Time will tell if I'm right or not.

- Jay Cutler is going to be fine under Adam Gase. Cutler has looked lost the last few years as he worked with head coaches and coordinators who did not work to his strengths. Enter Gase, who has realized that Cutler is effective when running bootlegs and rolling out of the pocket. Though he did throw an interception, Cutler played a pretty good game. And besides, that mistake was a result of Clay Matthews running hard to jump in front of the receiver. Cutler may end up imploding again, which would mean he's done in Chicago, but getting Alshon Jeffrey healthy will certainly help his case. Throw in an above average tight end and Forte playing for his next contract and Da Bears have some nice offensive pieces. Now if only they had a defense...

- Aaron Rodgers is going to be more than fine even without Jordy Nelson. Yeah, Nelson being out for the year hurts the offense but having James Jones, a receive Rodgers knows and trusts, will help ease that blow. They only have average, at best, tight ends, but Eddie Lacy is a beast and Devante Adams should come into his own. Don't worry about the Packers, the NFC North still runs through Green Bay...

- Peyton Manning is not fine. My only late afternoon option was watching Baltimore vs Denver and Manning looked broken all afternoon. Maybe it's the young and inexperienced (aside from Evan Matthis) offensive line, maybe it's the fact that Manning's neck is still messed up. Either way, Denver's not going to win a lot of games without scoring some offensive touchdowns. If Peyton continues his decline Denver will be competing for a top 5 draft pick, not a Super Bowl.

- Houston needs to stick with Ryan Mallet. This isn't college and  you can't just rotate your quarterbacks based on situations and who's playing better. If Hoyer was bad enough to be pulled he's not good enough to keep starting. Bill O'Brien needs to stick with Mallet and let him jell with the first string offense. If he's not good enough either, well, you'll have a shot to get a new quarterback early in next year's draft.

- Losing Terrell Suggs for the year is a huge blow to Baltimore's defense. He's the new heart and soul of that unit and provides a consistent pass rush. Trading away Ngata already left a void in the leadership department, but this one is going to hurt worse. Despite having Jimmy Smith play pretty well yesterday, their secondary isn't that great and relies on the front seven generating pressure. Unless the offense starts clicking, and could be okay once their first round rookie wide receiver can play, Baltimore will be sitting home come playoff time.

- And the Steelers might be joining them in watching the playoffs if their secondary doesn't step up. The front seven is just fine, but the secondary looked completely lost and out of place in Thursday night's opener. So much for their plan of disrupting Gronkowski's routes. They seemingly didn't even know he was on the field. Quite a feat for such a large man. Secondary coach Carnell Lake needs to have his players practice better to get better techniques down. Unless they can improve, Big Ben and the offense can only take the team so far. Best case scenario is a wildcard spot. Maybe the 2016 draft will finally be the time the Steelers draft a defensive back in the first round after not having done so since moving up 2003 to get Polamalu. They won't get another player like him, no one else will ever be like him, but they need better players in the secondary.

- And finally, Eli Manning proved once again that he is not an elite quarterback. Stop saying he is just because he went #1 overall, has 2 Super Bowl rings, and has a famous last name. He's not Peyton. And he's only the third best quarterback from the first round of the 2004 draft. That's right - Roethlisberger and Rivers are much better than Eli. Eli's stat line from last night against Dallas - 20/36  for 193 yards and QB rating of 45.4. He's league average and only won those two rings because of his defense. This is finally the year, even after his new 4 year - $84 million contract extension, that people start realizing Eli is average - not elite. As a result, Tom Coughlin will be ushered into retirement and the NFC East will be a two team race between the Cowboys and Eagles.

Am I right? Am I wrong? Let me know what you think in the comments below...